Since there are seven games left and I am six back, I am left with a
hard choice.  Do I play for the win? and risk it all, or play for
second? and try to beat the rest of the pack I am with.

Lumpy and I are the only two that have any chance to beat Conzen, the
rest of the pack is out of it.  Both of us have an extremely long shot,
and almost zero chance anyway.The rest of the pack (back to Ben) are
realistically close enough to Lumpy to pass him too.

Ok so I play to beat Lumpy and the others.

Which are the upsets?  Jags and Giants have the best shot in their
conference.  I'll go with the Giants.

Seahawks @ Packers - Packers

Jaguars @ Patriots - Patriots

Chargers @ Colts - Colts

Giants @ Cowboys - Giants