| Playoff Predictions for NFL 2012 |
| Team Rank (Points) |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
| 1. (x20) |
GB |
DEN |
HOU |
NE |
NE |
|
GB |
|
GB |
NE |
HOU |
NE |
NE |
| 2. (x17) |
HOU |
NE |
SF |
NYG |
NYG |
|
NE |
|
NE |
GB |
GB |
SF |
NYG |
| 3. (x14) |
NE |
PIT |
GB |
GB |
GB |
|
NO |
|
NYG |
BAL |
NYG |
GB |
GB |
| 4. (x12) |
NYG |
HOU |
NE |
HOU |
PHI |
|
PIT |
|
BAL |
HOU |
NO |
HOU |
SF |
| 5. (x10) |
BAL |
BAL |
ATL |
SF |
BAL |
|
NYG |
|
SF |
NYG |
BAL |
PIT |
HOU |
| 6. (x8) |
SF |
CIN |
BAL |
PHI |
SF |
|
HOU |
|
DEN |
SF |
NE |
DEN |
NO |
| 7. (x6) |
NO |
SD |
DEN |
PIT |
HOU |
|
SF |
|
NO |
NO |
CHI |
BAL |
ATL |
| 8. (x5) |
PIT |
BUF |
NYG |
BAL |
DEN |
|
BAL |
|
CAR |
DEN |
SF |
NO |
PIT |
| 9. (x4) |
ATL |
KC |
PHI |
NO |
NO |
|
DET |
|
PIT |
PIT |
DEN |
CHI |
BAL |
| 10. (x3) |
SD |
SEA OAK |
PIT |
DET |
PIT |
|
SD |
|
CIN |
ATL |
ATL |
PHI |
SD |
| 11. (x2) |
PHI |
TEN |
CHI |
SD |
ATL |
|
ATL |
|
OAK |
BUF |
CIN |
NYG |
DAL |
| 12. (x1) |
DEN |
NYJ |
DET |
NYJ |
DET |
|
TEN |
|
HOU |
TEN |
DET |
DET |
DET |
| AFC/NFC |
6/6 |
12/0 (!) |
5/7 |
6/6 |
5/7 |
|
6/6 |
|
7/5 |
7/5 |
5/7 |
5/7 |
5/7 |
| Notable |
Max Points
Possible |
All AFC (!) |
- |
Max Points
Possible |
NFC 3 of
Top 4 |
|
Max Points
Possible |
|
NFC 5 of
Top 8 |
AFC 3 of
Top 4 |
NFC 3 of
Top 4 |
AFC 5 of
Top 8 |
NFC 3 of
Top 4 |
Scoring
Based on where you seed them, each point value for final standings and playoff wins (see further down) will be multiplied by the base values below, just like we do with the NCAA hoops tourney, for those who are familiar with that.
Base value for teams you place at #:
1. x20
2. x17
3. x14
4. x12
5. x10
6. x8
7. x6
8. x5
9. x4
10. x3
11. x2
12. x1
Multipliers based on Final Standings & Playoff Progression:
Playoff seed based on final standings:
#6 seed = x1
#5 seed = x2
#4 seed = x3
#3 seed = x4
#2 seed = x5
#1 seed = x6
Playoffs:
Wins Wild Card playoff game or receives bye = x3
Wins Divisional playoff game = x5
Wins Conference Championship = x10
Wins Super Bowl = x20
So playoff seedings matter, but not as much, on the whole, as winning playoff games. Giving points for a bye week makes sense, since those teams can?t win a wild card game and would otherwise unfairly reward a #3-6 seed for having to play that one extra game.
Examples (Caution! math ahead!):
If you placed the 2010 Packers at the #1 spot (x20), you would get x1 for a #6 seed (20), then x3 for Wild Card Game win (60), x5 for Divisional game win (100), x10 for a Conference title (200), & x20 for the Super Bowl Championship (400) ... 20 + 60 + 100 + 200 + 400 = 780
However, if you placed the 2010 Packers at the #2 spot (x17), you would get all the same multipliers, but they would be worth 17 points each instead of 20 ... 17 + 51 + 85 + 170 + 340 = 663
Similarly, if you placed the 2010 Steelers at the #1 spot (x20), you would get a x5 for their #2 seed (100), then x3 for their bye week (60), x5 for the Divisional playoff win (100), & x10 for their Conference Championship (200) ? 100 + 60 + 100 + 200 = 460
However, if you placed the 2010 Steelers at the #2 spot (x17), you would get ... 85 + 51 + 85 + 170 = 391
If you were foolish and placed the Packers & Steelers at #5 & 6 respectively, you would?ve only scored a combined 580 points or so instead of around 1200. Therein lies the challenge.
The most any one team could score at the #1 slot would be 880 (120 for #1 seed + 60 for bye + 100 for Divisional playoff win + 200 for Conference title + 400 for Super Bowl win)